Merthyr Tydfil and Aberdare
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| Party |
2019 (notional) |
2024 |
Britain Predicts |
Economist |
electionmaps |
Electoral Calc. STM |
Electoral Calc. MRP |
Focaldata |
FT |
Ipsos |
JLP |
More in Common |
Savanta |
Survation |
WeThink |
YouGov |
| lab |
51.7% |
44.8% |
49.4% |
46.6% |
50.9% |
51.1% |
52.7% |
49.8% |
50.6% |
53.7% |
51.5% |
55.4% |
51.1% |
45.8% |
50.4% |
40.0% |
| ref |
10.7% |
23.7% |
13.1% |
19.2% |
19.0% |
20.9% |
20.6% |
22.2% |
20.0% |
15.2% |
14.0% |
16.8% |
15.5% |
24.2% |
13.4% |
21.0% |
| pc |
8.2% |
13.5% |
9.6% |
11.2% |
11.2% |
7.9% |
7.5% |
11.1% |
8.5% |
10.1% |
13.4% |
8.8% |
12.8% |
12.8% |
12.0% |
15.0% |
| con |
20.6% |
7.6% |
11.2% |
9.1% |
7.5% |
8.9% |
9.3% |
8.7% |
9.5% |
12.7% |
11.2% |
12.2% |
12.3% |
6.3% |
12.5% |
8.0% |
| lib |
3.3% |
3.6% |
7.9% |
5.1% |
3.4% |
3.6% |
2.7% |
2.7% |
3.2% |
2.8% |
4.6% |
2.1% |
3.9% |
1.8% |
2.9% |
7.0% |
| grn |
0.0% |
3.5% |
3.1% |
4.2% |
5.4% |
4.1% |
4.1% |
4.8% |
5.7% |
3.8% |
3.7% |
2.5% |
4.0% |
6.7% |
5.6% |
6.0% |
| oth |
5.5% |
3.2% |
5.6% |
4.5% |
2.6% |
3.5% |
3.2% |
0.7% |
2.4% |
0.8% |
1.7% |
2.2% |
0.4% |
2.4% |
3.3% |
3.0% |
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